National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
759 AM PLT WED NOV 13 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         11/18        11/23        11/28        12/03  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    5.7          6.3          6.9          6.7
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.7          5.8          5.8          5.8
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.6          5.6          5.5          5.6

FTJC1              MAX:    0.7          3.7          5.7          6.3
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.5          0.7          0.6          0.7
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.5

CEGC1              MAX:    1.0          6.4          7.2         13.9
TRINITY           PROB:    0.8          0.9          0.9          1.2
TRINITY LK         MIN:    0.8          0.7          0.7          0.7

SHDC1              MAX:   35.6         49.6         55.8         70.6
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   29.7         32.2         31.5         32.6
SHASTA             MIN:   29.5         29.2         28.7         28.6

ORDC1              MAX:   21.9         39.6         35.7         48.5
FEATHER           PROB:   17.9         18.4         17.9         18.7
OROVILLE           MIN:   17.9         16.9         16.1         15.3

HLEC1              MAX:   13.5         14.5         14.6         17.0
YUBA              PROB:   12.9         13.1         13.0         13.1
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   12.9         12.8         12.8         12.8

FOLC1              MAX:   12.2         20.7         17.9         23.1
AMERICAN          PROB:   10.4         11.3         11.0         11.6
FOLSOM             MIN:   10.4         10.5         10.3         10.2

CMPC1              MAX:    1.1          5.5          4.1          4.5
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    0.5          0.7          0.7          0.8
PARDEE             MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.5

NMSC1              MAX:    2.6         11.5          5.7          6.3
STANISLAUS        PROB:    1.4          1.7          1.7          2.3
NEW MELONES        MIN:    1.3          1.3          1.3          1.3

NDPC1              MAX:    5.3         21.0         13.1         14.7
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    2.1          2.7          3.2          4.7
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    2.1          2.1          2.1          2.2

POHC1              MAX:    0.3          3.4          2.0          2.5
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    0.3          0.3          0.4          0.4
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3

EXQC1              MAX:    2.0          6.2          4.8          5.8
MERCED            PROB:    1.2          1.4          1.7          2.2
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    1.2          1.3          1.3          1.4

FRAC1              MAX:    3.0          5.5          6.5          7.7
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    2.5          2.9          3.2          3.4
MILLERTON          MIN:    2.5          2.7          2.9          2.9

PFTC1              MAX:    4.8          6.6          5.9          7.0
KINGS             PROB:    4.3          4.3          4.2          4.1
PINE FLAT          MIN:    4.3          4.1          3.9          3.7

TMDC1              MAX:    0.8          1.4          1.5          2.3
KAWEAH            PROB:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.9
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    0.8          0.8          0.7          0.7

SCSC1              MAX:    0.5          0.9          0.8          0.9
TULE              PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

ISAC1              MAX:    3.8          5.0          5.3          5.4
KERN              PROB:    3.6          3.5          3.6          3.6
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    3.6          3.5          3.3          3.2

BCAC1              MAX:    0.6          0.7          0.6          0.6
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.5
BOCA               MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.5

FARC1              MAX:    3.6          4.4          4.3          4.1
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    3.4          3.5          3.5          3.5
FARAD              MIN:    3.4          3.5          3.5          3.5

WOOC1              MAX:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

GRDN2              MAX:    0.9          1.3          1.4          1.5
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7

STWN2              MAX:    1.6          2.5          2.7          2.5
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    1.4          1.5          1.5          1.6
CARSON CITY        MIN:    1.4          1.4          1.4          1.4

WWBC1              MAX:    0.5          1.5          1.1          1.1
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3

BPRC1              MAX:    0.9          1.1          1.1          1.1
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.8
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.8          0.7          0.7          0.7

PALN2              MAX:    1.3          1.5          1.7          1.9
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.3          1.3          1.4          1.6
PALISADE           MIN:    1.3          1.3          1.3          1.3

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.6          0.6          0.8          0.9
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.7
ELKO               MIN:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.5

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.6/   5.6/   5.5/   5.6
.ER WMSO3 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8
.ER WMSO3 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   6.3/   6.9/   6.7
.ER FTJC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER FTJC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.7/   0.6/   0.7
.ER FTJC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   3.7/   5.7/   6.3
.ER CEGC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER CEGC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.9/   0.9/   1.2
.ER CEGC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   6.4/   7.2/  13.9
.ER SHDC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   29.5/  29.2/  28.7/  28.6
.ER SHDC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   29.7/  32.2/  31.5/  32.6
.ER SHDC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   35.6/  49.6/  55.8/  70.6
.ER ORDC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.9/  16.9/  16.1/  15.3
.ER ORDC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   17.9/  18.4/  17.9/  18.7
.ER ORDC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   21.9/  39.6/  35.7/  48.5
.ER HLEC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   12.9/  12.8/  12.8/  12.8
.ER HLEC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   12.9/  13.1/  13.0/  13.1
.ER HLEC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   13.5/  14.5/  14.6/  17.0
.ER FOLC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.4/  10.5/  10.3/  10.2
.ER FOLC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.4/  11.3/  11.0/  11.6
.ER FOLC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   12.2/  20.7/  17.9/  23.1
.ER CMPC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER CMPC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.7/   0.7/   0.8
.ER CMPC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   5.5/   4.1/   4.5
.ER NMSC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.3/   1.3/   1.3
.ER NMSC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.7/   1.7/   2.3
.ER NMSC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.6/  11.5/   5.7/   6.3
.ER NDPC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   2.1/   2.1/   2.2
.ER NDPC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   2.7/   3.2/   4.7
.ER NDPC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.3/  21.0/  13.1/  14.7
.ER POHC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER POHC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.4/   0.4
.ER POHC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   3.4/   2.0/   2.5
.ER EXQC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.3/   1.3/   1.4
.ER EXQC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.4/   1.7/   2.2
.ER EXQC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   6.2/   4.8/   5.8
.ER FRAC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   2.7/   2.9/   2.9
.ER FRAC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   2.9/   3.2/   3.4
.ER FRAC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.0/   5.5/   6.5/   7.7
.ER PFTC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   4.1/   3.9/   3.7
.ER PFTC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   4.3/   4.2/   4.1
.ER PFTC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.8/   6.6/   5.9/   7.0
.ER TMDC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.7/   0.7
.ER TMDC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.9
.ER TMDC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   1.4/   1.5/   2.3
.ER SCSC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.9/   0.8/   0.9
.ER ISAC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.6/   3.5/   3.3/   3.2
.ER ISAC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.6/   3.5/   3.6/   3.6
.ER ISAC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   5.0/   5.3/   5.4
.ER BCAC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER BCAC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER BCAC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.7/   0.6/   0.6
.ER FARC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5
.ER FARC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5
.ER FARC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.6/   4.4/   4.3/   4.1
.ER WOOC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER GRDN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER GRDN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER GRDN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.3/   1.4/   1.5
.ER STWN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4
.ER STWN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.5/   1.5/   1.6
.ER STWN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   2.5/   2.7/   2.5
.ER WWBC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   1.5/   1.1/   1.1
.ER BPRC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER BPRC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER BPRC1 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.1/   1.1/   1.1
.ER PALN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.3/   1.3/   1.3
.ER PALN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.3/   1.4/   1.6
.ER PALN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.5/   1.7/   1.9
.ER MHSN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER HREN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.7
.ER HREN2 20191118 Z DH12/DC201911131200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.8/   0.9

$$