National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
904 AM PLT FRI JUL 19 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         07/24        07/29        08/03        08/08  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    5.5          5.5          5.4          5.4
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.5          5.4          5.3          5.2
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.5          5.4          5.3          5.2

FTJC1              MAX:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.8
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.8          0.7          0.7          0.6
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.8          0.7          0.7          0.6

CEGC1              MAX:    4.4          3.2          2.9          2.7
TRINITY           PROB:    4.3          3.1          2.8          2.6
TRINITY LK         MIN:    4.3          3.1          2.8          2.6

SHDC1              MAX:   39.8         39.4         39.3         37.8
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   39.4         38.3         37.2         36.5
SHASTA             MIN:   39.3         37.9         37.0         36.3

ORDC1              MAX:   23.2         22.9         21.9         19.9
FEATHER           PROB:   22.9         21.6         20.3         19.2
OROVILLE           MIN:   22.8         21.2         20.0         19.0

HLEC1              MAX:   26.9         26.6         26.4         26.2
YUBA              PROB:   26.9         26.5         26.4         26.2
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   26.9         26.5         26.4         26.2

FOLC1              MAX:   27.1         25.3         24.5         23.9
AMERICAN          PROB:   27.0         25.2         24.4         23.8
FOLSOM             MIN:   27.0         25.1         24.3         23.8

CMPC1              MAX:    6.7          6.1          4.9          3.7
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    6.3          5.4          4.3          3.1
PARDEE             MIN:    5.9          4.6          3.7          2.7

NMSC1              MAX:   13.1         11.0          8.6          6.2
STANISLAUS        PROB:   12.9         10.2          8.0          6.0
NEW MELONES        MIN:   12.5          9.5          7.1          5.6

NDPC1              MAX:   23.0         18.7         14.3         10.9
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   22.4         17.3         13.1         10.3
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   22.0         16.5         12.6          9.9

POHC1              MAX:    8.5          8.0          6.6          4.8
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    8.1          7.0          5.5          4.1
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    7.7          6.2          4.8          3.5

EXQC1              MAX:   10.4         11.7          8.8          6.4
MERCED            PROB:    9.8         10.1          7.8          5.6
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    9.2          9.1          6.8          4.9

FRAC1              MAX:   41.3         36.3         30.3         24.0
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   39.6         30.8         23.5         17.2
MILLERTON          MIN:   37.7         28.0         20.1         15.2

PFTC1              MAX:   41.6         36.1         29.2         20.9
KINGS             PROB:   39.6         31.7         24.8         17.9
PINE FLAT          MIN:   37.6         28.8         21.3         15.7

TMDC1              MAX:    8.5          6.8          3.9          2.6
KAWEAH            PROB:    8.0          5.3          3.3          2.2
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    7.7          4.9          3.1          2.1

SCSC1              MAX:    1.5          1.5          1.3          1.1
TULE              PROB:    1.5          1.4          1.2          1.0
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    1.5          1.3          1.1          1.0

ISAC1              MAX:   19.1         21.0         17.7         14.7
KERN              PROB:   17.9         17.2         15.1         12.9
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   17.6         15.8         13.7         11.7

BCAC1              MAX:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7
BOCA               MIN:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7

FARC1              MAX:    6.3          5.9          5.6          5.3
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    6.3          5.8          5.5          5.3
FARAD              MIN:    6.3          5.8          5.5          5.3

WOOC1              MAX:    1.0          0.8          0.7          0.6
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    1.0          0.8          0.7          0.6
WOODFORDS          MIN:    1.0          0.8          0.7          0.6

GRDN2              MAX:    6.3          5.8          4.4          3.4
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    5.9          4.8          3.6          3.0
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    5.5          4.1          3.3          2.9

STWN2              MAX:    4.8          4.7          3.4          2.5
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    4.4          3.7          2.6          2.0
CARSON CITY        MIN:    4.1          3.1          2.3          1.9

WWBC1              MAX:    7.7          7.3          6.5          5.0
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    7.1          6.2          5.0          4.1
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    6.4          5.0          4.0          3.0

BPRC1              MAX:    4.7          4.9          4.4          3.6
EAST WALKER       PROB:    4.6          4.4          3.8          3.1
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    4.4          3.9          3.3          2.8

PALN2              MAX:    6.8          6.0          5.6          5.1
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    6.8          5.9          5.4          4.9
PALISADE           MIN:    6.8          5.8          5.4          4.9

MHSN2              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    5.1          4.3          4.0          3.7
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    5.1          4.3          4.0          3.7
ELKO               MIN:    5.1          4.3          3.9          3.6

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   5.4/   5.3/   5.2
.ER WMSO3 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   5.4/   5.3/   5.2
.ER WMSO3 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   5.5/   5.4/   5.4
.ER FTJC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.7/   0.6
.ER FTJC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.7/   0.6
.ER FTJC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER CEGC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   3.1/   2.8/   2.6
.ER CEGC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   3.1/   2.8/   2.6
.ER CEGC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   3.2/   2.9/   2.7
.ER SHDC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   39.3/  37.9/  37.0/  36.3
.ER SHDC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   39.4/  38.3/  37.2/  36.5
.ER SHDC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   39.8/  39.4/  39.3/  37.8
.ER ORDC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   22.8/  21.2/  20.0/  19.0
.ER ORDC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   22.9/  21.6/  20.3/  19.2
.ER ORDC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.2/  22.9/  21.9/  19.9
.ER HLEC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   26.9/  26.5/  26.4/  26.2
.ER HLEC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   26.9/  26.5/  26.4/  26.2
.ER HLEC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.9/  26.6/  26.4/  26.2
.ER FOLC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.0/  25.1/  24.3/  23.8
.ER FOLC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   27.0/  25.2/  24.4/  23.8
.ER FOLC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   27.1/  25.3/  24.5/  23.9
.ER CMPC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   4.6/   3.7/   2.7
.ER CMPC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   5.4/   4.3/   3.1
.ER CMPC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.7/   6.1/   4.9/   3.7
.ER NMSC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   12.5/   9.5/   7.1/   5.6
.ER NMSC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   12.9/  10.2/   8.0/   6.0
.ER NMSC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   13.1/  11.0/   8.6/   6.2
.ER NDPC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   22.0/  16.5/  12.6/   9.9
.ER NDPC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   22.4/  17.3/  13.1/  10.3
.ER NDPC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.0/  18.7/  14.3/  10.9
.ER POHC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.7/   6.2/   4.8/   3.5
.ER POHC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.1/   7.0/   5.5/   4.1
.ER POHC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.5/   8.0/   6.6/   4.8
.ER EXQC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.2/   9.1/   6.8/   4.9
.ER EXQC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.8/  10.1/   7.8/   5.6
.ER EXQC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.4/  11.7/   8.8/   6.4
.ER FRAC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   37.7/  28.0/  20.1/  15.2
.ER FRAC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   39.6/  30.8/  23.5/  17.2
.ER FRAC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   41.3/  36.3/  30.3/  24.0
.ER PFTC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   37.6/  28.8/  21.3/  15.7
.ER PFTC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   39.6/  31.7/  24.8/  17.9
.ER PFTC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   41.6/  36.1/  29.2/  20.9
.ER TMDC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.7/   4.9/   3.1/   2.1
.ER TMDC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.0/   5.3/   3.3/   2.2
.ER TMDC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.5/   6.8/   3.9/   2.6
.ER SCSC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.3/   1.1/   1.0
.ER SCSC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.2/   1.0
.ER SCSC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.5/   1.3/   1.1
.ER ISAC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.6/  15.8/  13.7/  11.7
.ER ISAC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   17.9/  17.2/  15.1/  12.9
.ER ISAC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   19.1/  21.0/  17.7/  14.7
.ER BCAC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER BCAC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER BCAC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER FARC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   5.8/   5.5/   5.3
.ER FARC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   5.8/   5.5/   5.3
.ER FARC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   5.9/   5.6/   5.3
.ER WOOC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.8/   0.7/   0.6
.ER WOOC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.8/   0.7/   0.6
.ER WOOC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.8/   0.7/   0.6
.ER GRDN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   4.1/   3.3/   2.9
.ER GRDN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   4.8/   3.6/   3.0
.ER GRDN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   5.8/   4.4/   3.4
.ER STWN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   3.1/   2.3/   1.9
.ER STWN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   3.7/   2.6/   2.0
.ER STWN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.8/   4.7/   3.4/   2.5
.ER WWBC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.4/   5.0/   4.0/   3.0
.ER WWBC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.1/   6.2/   5.0/   4.1
.ER WWBC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.7/   7.3/   6.5/   5.0
.ER BPRC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   3.9/   3.3/   2.8
.ER BPRC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.6/   4.4/   3.8/   3.1
.ER BPRC1 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.7/   4.9/   4.4/   3.6
.ER PALN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   5.8/   5.4/   4.9
.ER PALN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   5.9/   5.4/   4.9
.ER PALN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   6.0/   5.6/   5.1
.ER MHSN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.1/   4.3/   3.9/   3.6
.ER HREN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.1/   4.3/   4.0/   3.7
.ER HREN2 20190724 Z DH12/DC201907191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.1/   4.3/   4.0/   3.7

$$