National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1004 AM PLT FRI MAR 22 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         03/27        04/01        04/06        04/11  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:   17.8         26.0         32.8         35.2
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:   16.3         20.7         25.4         26.1
CHILOQUIN          MIN:   15.7         16.9         18.3         18.9

FTJC1              MAX:   13.5         19.3         22.4         16.2
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    9.3         12.3         13.9         11.1
FORT JONES         MIN:    7.7          7.5          9.4          7.6

CEGC1              MAX:   41.9         44.3         60.8         64.6
TRINITY           PROB:   32.0         31.8         40.5         38.4
TRINITY LK         MIN:   27.5         21.8         27.8         26.8

SHDC1              MAX:  211.0        260.4        291.8        228.7
SACRAMENTO        PROB:  156.7        163.2        150.3        128.6
SHASTA             MIN:  125.8        113.8        102.8         96.6

ORDC1              MAX:  156.0        177.1        224.1        200.7
FEATHER           PROB:  117.2        123.4        142.8        127.5
OROVILLE           MIN:  102.8         90.1         82.8         95.3

HLEC1              MAX:   64.1         80.2         75.0         61.0
YUBA              PROB:   51.0         56.0         49.9         45.8
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   45.9         45.7         42.5         41.5

FOLC1              MAX:  135.8        163.1        151.6        125.5
AMERICAN          PROB:   87.2         99.3         94.2         84.2
FOLSOM             MIN:   73.8         73.7         70.4         66.3

CMPC1              MAX:   34.6         40.5         44.6         36.4
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   26.2         31.7         29.4         26.5
PARDEE             MIN:   22.7         22.1         19.4         18.5

NMSC1              MAX:   42.1         49.4         53.4         59.8
STANISLAUS        PROB:   29.1         32.4         34.8         37.2
NEW MELONES        MIN:   23.4         21.2         21.0         23.2

NDPC1              MAX:   56.0         77.7         89.6         86.5
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   38.2         48.2         51.5         54.6
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   31.5         31.9         30.6         36.2

POHC1              MAX:    5.1          6.1         11.6         16.5
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    4.5          4.1          6.3          8.6
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    4.1          3.2          2.8          3.0

EXQC1              MAX:   31.6         47.7         42.2         38.3
MERCED            PROB:   21.0         26.6         24.7         25.9
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   15.8         17.2         13.3         15.3

FRAC1              MAX:   33.6         48.0         51.8         61.1
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   25.2         30.3         33.3         34.9
MILLERTON          MIN:   19.9         20.1         17.9         20.8

PFTC1              MAX:   42.3         56.6         59.0         60.4
KINGS             PROB:   32.2         36.8         37.0         40.1
PINE FLAT          MIN:   27.6         25.6         23.3         25.5

TMDC1              MAX:   12.4         15.7         23.4         23.6
KAWEAH            PROB:   10.5         11.5         14.7         14.4
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    9.7          8.6          9.2          9.7

SCSC1              MAX:    7.8         11.7         13.6         14.0
TULE              PROB:    6.3          7.0          7.7          7.2
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    5.7          5.2          4.9          4.6

ISAC1              MAX:   15.7         21.6         32.2         36.1
KERN              PROB:   14.4         17.0         21.4         25.5
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   13.6         14.4         16.2         16.8

BCAC1              MAX:    2.5          2.9          3.8          4.8
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    2.4          2.5          3.0          3.5
BOCA               MIN:    2.3          2.2          2.3          2.5

FARC1              MAX:   20.9         21.4         23.6         26.1
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   20.6         20.3         21.5         22.5
FARAD              MIN:   20.4         19.9         19.8         20.0

WOOC1              MAX:    0.5          0.8          1.6          2.7
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.8          1.2
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3

GRDN2              MAX:    3.7          3.7          5.1          7.8
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    3.2          2.8          3.4          4.3
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    2.8          2.4          2.2          2.3

STWN2              MAX:    5.3          4.6          5.9          8.7
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    4.7          3.6          3.3          3.9
CARSON CITY        MIN:    4.3          3.0          2.0          1.6

WWBC1              MAX:    0.8          1.0          1.8          3.4
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.7          0.7          1.1          1.6
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.7          0.6          0.6          0.6

BPRC1              MAX:    1.5          2.1          3.0          3.8
EAST WALKER       PROB:    1.2          1.2          2.0          2.2
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.9          0.7          0.8          0.8

PALN2              MAX:   12.5         24.2         32.0         35.5
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   10.3         16.6         22.9         24.6
PALISADE           MIN:    8.8         11.4         14.0         15.1

MHSN2              MAX:    0.7          1.7          2.8          3.9
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.6          1.0          1.4          2.2
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.5          0.7          0.8          1.0

HREN2              MAX:    5.1         11.3         15.5         16.4
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    4.0          7.2         10.9         11.0
ELKO               MIN:    3.2          5.0          5.8          6.2

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.7/  16.9/  18.3/  18.9
.ER WMSO3 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   16.3/  20.7/  25.4/  26.1
.ER WMSO3 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   17.8/  26.0/  32.8/  35.2
.ER FTJC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.7/   7.5/   9.4/   7.6
.ER FTJC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.3/  12.3/  13.9/  11.1
.ER FTJC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   13.5/  19.3/  22.4/  16.2
.ER CEGC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.5/  21.8/  27.8/  26.8
.ER CEGC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   32.0/  31.8/  40.5/  38.4
.ER CEGC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   41.9/  44.3/  60.8/  64.6
.ER SHDC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  125.8/ 113.8/ 102.8/  96.6
.ER SHDC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  156.7/ 163.2/ 150.3/ 128.6
.ER SHDC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  211.0/ 260.4/ 291.8/ 228.7
.ER ORDC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  102.8/  90.1/  82.8/  95.3
.ER ORDC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  117.2/ 123.4/ 142.8/ 127.5
.ER ORDC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  156.0/ 177.1/ 224.1/ 200.7
.ER HLEC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   45.9/  45.7/  42.5/  41.5
.ER HLEC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   51.0/  56.0/  49.9/  45.8
.ER HLEC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   64.1/  80.2/  75.0/  61.0
.ER FOLC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   73.8/  73.7/  70.4/  66.3
.ER FOLC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   87.2/  99.3/  94.2/  84.2
.ER FOLC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  135.8/ 163.1/ 151.6/ 125.5
.ER CMPC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   22.7/  22.1/  19.4/  18.5
.ER CMPC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   26.2/  31.7/  29.4/  26.5
.ER CMPC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   34.6/  40.5/  44.6/  36.4
.ER NMSC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   23.4/  21.2/  21.0/  23.2
.ER NMSC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   29.1/  32.4/  34.8/  37.2
.ER NMSC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   42.1/  49.4/  53.4/  59.8
.ER NDPC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   31.5/  31.9/  30.6/  36.2
.ER NDPC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   38.2/  48.2/  51.5/  54.6
.ER NDPC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   56.0/  77.7/  89.6/  86.5
.ER POHC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   3.2/   2.8/   3.0
.ER POHC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   4.1/   6.3/   8.6
.ER POHC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.1/   6.1/  11.6/  16.5
.ER EXQC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.8/  17.2/  13.3/  15.3
.ER EXQC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   21.0/  26.6/  24.7/  25.9
.ER EXQC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   31.6/  47.7/  42.2/  38.3
.ER FRAC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   19.9/  20.1/  17.9/  20.8
.ER FRAC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   25.2/  30.3/  33.3/  34.9
.ER FRAC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   33.6/  48.0/  51.8/  61.1
.ER PFTC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.6/  25.6/  23.3/  25.5
.ER PFTC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   32.2/  36.8/  37.0/  40.1
.ER PFTC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   42.3/  56.6/  59.0/  60.4
.ER TMDC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.7/   8.6/   9.2/   9.7
.ER TMDC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.5/  11.5/  14.7/  14.4
.ER TMDC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   12.4/  15.7/  23.4/  23.6
.ER SCSC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.2/   4.9/   4.6
.ER SCSC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   7.0/   7.7/   7.2
.ER SCSC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.8/  11.7/  13.6/  14.0
.ER ISAC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   13.6/  14.4/  16.2/  16.8
.ER ISAC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.4/  17.0/  21.4/  25.5
.ER ISAC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   15.7/  21.6/  32.2/  36.1
.ER BCAC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.3/   2.2/   2.3/   2.5
.ER BCAC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   2.5/   3.0/   3.5
.ER BCAC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   2.9/   3.8/   4.8
.ER FARC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   20.4/  19.9/  19.8/  20.0
.ER FARC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   20.6/  20.3/  21.5/  22.5
.ER FARC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   20.9/  21.4/  23.6/  26.1
.ER WOOC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.8/   1.2
.ER WOOC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.8/   1.6/   2.7
.ER GRDN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.4/   2.2/   2.3
.ER GRDN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.2/   2.8/   3.4/   4.3
.ER GRDN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.7/   3.7/   5.1/   7.8
.ER STWN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   3.0/   2.0/   1.6
.ER STWN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.7/   3.6/   3.3/   3.9
.ER STWN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.3/   4.6/   5.9/   8.7
.ER WWBC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.6/   0.6/   0.6
.ER WWBC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   1.1/   1.6
.ER WWBC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   1.0/   1.8/   3.4
.ER BPRC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.7/   0.8/   0.8
.ER BPRC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.2/   2.0/   2.2
.ER BPRC1 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   2.1/   3.0/   3.8
.ER PALN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    8.8/  11.4/  14.0/  15.1
.ER PALN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.3/  16.6/  22.9/  24.6
.ER PALN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   12.5/  24.2/  32.0/  35.5
.ER MHSN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.7/   0.8/   1.0
.ER MHSN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   1.0/   1.4/   2.2
.ER MHSN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   1.7/   2.8/   3.9
.ER HREN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.2/   5.0/   5.8/   6.2
.ER HREN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   7.2/  10.9/  11.0
.ER HREN2 20190327 Z DH12/DC201903221200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.1/  11.3/  15.5/  16.4

$$