National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
832 AM PLT SAT SEP 21 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         09/26        10/01        10/06        10/11  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    5.7          5.9          6.6          6.3
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.5          5.4          5.7          5.7
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.5          5.3          5.4          5.5

FTJC1              MAX:    0.4          0.9          1.1          0.9
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.3          0.4          0.4          0.4
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3

CEGC1              MAX:    1.4          4.6          4.2          4.3
TRINITY           PROB:    1.2          1.4          1.1          1.1
TRINITY LK         MIN:    1.2          1.1          1.0          0.9

SHDC1              MAX:   37.0         51.4         53.3         46.4
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   35.8         37.0         36.3         36.4
SHASTA             MIN:   35.6         35.5         35.3         35.2

ORDC1              MAX:    8.4         19.3         21.4         17.5
FEATHER           PROB:    8.2          8.5          7.9          7.8
OROVILLE           MIN:    8.2          7.9          7.4          7.1

HLEC1              MAX:    9.1         10.3         14.6         16.8
YUBA              PROB:    9.1          9.5         14.2         16.2
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:    9.1          9.3         14.1         16.1

FOLC1              MAX:   21.8         25.6         24.2         24.2
AMERICAN          PROB:   21.7         22.1         21.9         22.0
FOLSOM             MIN:   21.7         22.0         21.8         21.7

CMPC1              MAX:    1.3          2.4          2.7          3.3
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    1.3          1.4          1.3          1.2
PARDEE             MIN:    1.3          1.2          1.1          1.1

NMSC1              MAX:    2.1          8.7          6.2          5.0
STANISLAUS        PROB:    2.0          2.7          2.2          2.1
NEW MELONES        MIN:    2.0          2.1          1.9          1.7

NDPC1              MAX:    2.4         16.3         12.2         10.7
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    2.4          3.7          3.1          2.9
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    2.4          2.8          2.4          2.3

POHC1              MAX:    0.6          1.5          1.8          3.2
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    0.6          0.7          0.7          0.7
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.6

EXQC1              MAX:    0.9          4.0          4.2          5.6
MERCED            PROB:    0.8          1.4          1.3          1.5
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    0.8          1.0          1.1          1.2

FRAC1              MAX:    3.4          7.2          6.7          6.8
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    3.3          3.9          4.3          4.4
MILLERTON          MIN:    3.3          3.7          3.8          3.9

PFTC1              MAX:    4.5          6.7          7.1          7.2
KINGS             PROB:    4.5          4.9          5.0          5.0
PINE FLAT          MIN:    4.5          4.5          4.6          4.6

TMDC1              MAX:    1.0          1.1          1.0          0.9
KAWEAH            PROB:    1.0          0.8          0.7          0.6
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    1.0          0.8          0.7          0.6

SCSC1              MAX:    0.4          0.6          0.4          0.4
TULE              PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.2
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.2

ISAC1              MAX:    4.3          4.5          4.4          4.2
KERN              PROB:    4.2          4.0          3.8          3.6
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    4.2          4.0          3.7          3.5

BCAC1              MAX:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.8
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.8
BOCA               MIN:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.8

FARC1              MAX:    5.2          5.8          5.6          5.3
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    5.2          5.3          5.1          5.0
FARAD              MIN:    5.2          5.2          5.1          5.0

WOOC1              MAX:    0.3          0.4          0.4          0.3
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3

GRDN2              MAX:    1.1          1.4          1.4          1.4
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    1.0          1.1          1.1          1.0
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    1.0          1.0          1.0          1.0

STWN2              MAX:    0.9          1.5          1.6          1.7
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    0.9          1.1          1.0          1.1
CARSON CITY        MIN:    0.9          1.0          1.0          1.0

WWBC1              MAX:    0.7          0.8          1.0          1.2
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.7          0.7          0.6          0.5
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.7          0.6          0.5          0.4

BPRC1              MAX:    0.7          0.9          0.9          0.9
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.7          0.7          0.6          0.6

PALN2              MAX:    1.2          1.9          2.5          2.4
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.0          1.3          1.4          1.3
PALISADE           MIN:    1.0          1.1          1.1          1.0

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.2          0.4          0.5
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.3          0.3          0.6          0.8
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3
ELKO               MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   5.3/   5.4/   5.5
.ER WMSO3 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   5.4/   5.7/   5.7
.ER WMSO3 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.9/   6.6/   6.3
.ER FTJC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER FTJC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER FTJC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.9/   1.1/   0.9
.ER CEGC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.1/   1.0/   0.9
.ER CEGC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.4/   1.1/   1.1
.ER CEGC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   4.6/   4.2/   4.3
.ER SHDC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   35.6/  35.5/  35.3/  35.2
.ER SHDC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   35.8/  37.0/  36.3/  36.4
.ER SHDC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   37.0/  51.4/  53.3/  46.4
.ER ORDC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    8.2/   7.9/   7.4/   7.1
.ER ORDC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.2/   8.5/   7.9/   7.8
.ER ORDC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.4/  19.3/  21.4/  17.5
.ER HLEC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.1/   9.3/  14.1/  16.1
.ER HLEC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.1/   9.5/  14.2/  16.2
.ER HLEC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.1/  10.3/  14.6/  16.8
.ER FOLC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   21.7/  22.0/  21.8/  21.7
.ER FOLC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   21.7/  22.1/  21.9/  22.0
.ER FOLC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   21.8/  25.6/  24.2/  24.2
.ER CMPC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.2/   1.1/   1.1
.ER CMPC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.4/   1.3/   1.2
.ER CMPC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   2.4/   2.7/   3.3
.ER NMSC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   2.1/   1.9/   1.7
.ER NMSC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   2.7/   2.2/   2.1
.ER NMSC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   8.7/   6.2/   5.0
.ER NDPC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   2.8/   2.4/   2.3
.ER NDPC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   3.7/   3.1/   2.9
.ER NDPC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.4/  16.3/  12.2/  10.7
.ER POHC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.6
.ER POHC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER POHC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   1.5/   1.8/   3.2
.ER EXQC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   1.0/   1.1/   1.2
.ER EXQC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   1.4/   1.3/   1.5
.ER EXQC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   4.0/   4.2/   5.6
.ER FRAC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.3/   3.7/   3.8/   3.9
.ER FRAC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.3/   3.9/   4.3/   4.4
.ER FRAC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   7.2/   6.7/   6.8
.ER PFTC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   4.5/   4.6/   4.6
.ER PFTC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   4.9/   5.0/   5.0
.ER PFTC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   6.7/   7.1/   7.2
.ER TMDC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.8/   0.7/   0.6
.ER TMDC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.8/   0.7/   0.6
.ER TMDC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.1/   1.0/   0.9
.ER SCSC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.2
.ER SCSC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.2
.ER SCSC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.6/   0.4/   0.4
.ER ISAC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.2/   4.0/   3.7/   3.5
.ER ISAC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.2/   4.0/   3.8/   3.6
.ER ISAC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   4.5/   4.4/   4.2
.ER BCAC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER BCAC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER BCAC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER FARC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.2/   5.2/   5.1/   5.0
.ER FARC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.2/   5.3/   5.1/   5.0
.ER FARC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.2/   5.8/   5.6/   5.3
.ER WOOC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.4/   0.4/   0.3
.ER GRDN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.0/   1.0/   1.0
.ER GRDN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.1/   1.1/   1.0
.ER GRDN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4
.ER STWN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.0/   1.0/   1.0
.ER STWN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.1/   1.0/   1.1
.ER STWN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.5/   1.6/   1.7
.ER WWBC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.6/   0.5/   0.4
.ER WWBC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.6/   0.5
.ER WWBC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.8/   1.0/   1.2
.ER BPRC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.6/   0.6
.ER BPRC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER BPRC1 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.9/   0.9/   0.9
.ER PALN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.1/   1.1/   1.0
.ER PALN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.3/   1.4/   1.3
.ER PALN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.9/   2.5/   2.4
.ER MHSN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.2/   0.4/   0.5
.ER HREN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER HREN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER HREN2 20190926 Z DH12/DC201909211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.6/   0.8

$$