National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1256 PM PLT TUE JUN 18 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         06/23        06/28        07/03        07/08  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    6.4          6.1          6.4          5.7
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    6.3          5.9          5.8          5.5
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    6.3          5.9          5.7          5.4

FTJC1              MAX:    4.7          4.1          3.5          2.8
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    4.7          3.7          3.1          2.6
FORT JONES         MIN:    4.7          3.7          3.1          2.6

CEGC1              MAX:   23.6         19.8         21.7         15.0
TRINITY           PROB:   22.2         16.0         16.0         12.1
TRINITY LK         MIN:   20.9         13.7         13.6         10.1

SHDC1              MAX:   60.7         59.1         68.7         57.6
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   59.7         53.1         50.3         47.9
SHASTA             MIN:   58.8         51.5         48.2         45.6

ORDC1              MAX:   58.7         47.8         40.0         35.8
FEATHER           PROB:   57.4         43.9         36.5         31.3
OROVILLE           MIN:   56.1         41.7         33.2         28.3

HLEC1              MAX:   48.9         47.1         67.2         67.3
YUBA              PROB:   48.9         47.1         67.2         67.2
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   48.9         47.1         67.2         67.2

FOLC1              MAX:   80.8         68.7         61.3         55.1
AMERICAN          PROB:   78.6         65.4         58.2         52.4
FOLSOM             MIN:   76.9         62.6         54.7         50.1

CMPC1              MAX:   49.4         28.7         21.3         18.5
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   45.4         25.7         17.8         13.9
PARDEE             MIN:   41.6         22.9         15.0         11.8

NMSC1              MAX:   49.5         32.7         25.0         19.7
STANISLAUS        PROB:   47.6         30.1         22.2         17.1
NEW MELONES        MIN:   45.7         27.0         18.7         15.2

NDPC1              MAX:  128.3         97.3         82.1         68.8
TUOLUMNE          PROB:  119.3         81.4         68.0         56.0
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:  110.2         65.9         54.4         48.5

POHC1              MAX:   39.7         26.7         22.0         19.5
MERCED RIVER      PROB:   37.0         22.7         19.0         16.3
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:   33.7         18.8         14.5         13.2

EXQC1              MAX:   57.5         39.2         33.3         29.1
MERCED            PROB:   54.0         33.9         28.5         24.5
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   49.5         28.6         22.3         20.9

FRAC1              MAX:  155.3        125.6        111.3         98.1
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:  141.4        103.9         93.7         82.7
MILLERTON          MIN:  127.4         83.3         70.5         68.3

PFTC1              MAX:  182.1        127.4        105.3         94.9
KINGS             PROB:  163.1        107.8         94.7         78.8
PINE FLAT          MIN:  147.7         88.6         75.8         64.0

TMDC1              MAX:   32.4         22.2         18.1         16.3
KAWEAH            PROB:   30.8         19.6         16.0         13.4
LK KAWEAH          MIN:   28.8         17.0         12.9         10.9

SCSC1              MAX:    4.4          3.7          2.8          2.5
TULE              PROB:    4.3          3.3          2.7          2.2
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    4.1          3.1          2.4          2.1

ISAC1              MAX:   59.2         47.5         40.8         38.9
KERN              PROB:   56.4         42.7         36.8         32.1
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   53.6         39.2         31.6         27.6

BCAC1              MAX:    3.5          3.5          3.5          3.5
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    3.5          3.5          3.5          3.5
BOCA               MIN:    3.5          3.5          3.5          3.5

FARC1              MAX:   23.3         20.5         19.0         17.7
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   22.8         20.2         18.6         17.5
FARAD              MIN:   22.4         19.9         18.5         17.4

WOOC1              MAX:    4.8          3.3          2.8          2.3
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    4.6          2.9          2.2          1.8
WOODFORDS          MIN:    4.3          2.6          1.8          1.5

GRDN2              MAX:   23.0         18.5         12.9         10.8
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:   20.9         15.3         11.3          9.0
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:   18.7         13.1          9.1          7.4

STWN2              MAX:   23.3         18.1         12.1          9.7
CARSON RIVER      PROB:   21.5         14.7         10.4          7.9
CARSON CITY        MIN:   19.3         12.4          8.0          6.2

WWBC1              MAX:   25.6         19.5         15.9         15.3
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:   23.5         15.7         13.5         12.6
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:   21.3         13.7         10.0          9.5

BPRC1              MAX:   11.3          9.6          8.6          7.9
EAST WALKER       PROB:   10.4          8.2          7.5          6.9
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    9.4          7.0          6.3          5.9

PALN2              MAX:   33.0         26.6         22.8         16.9
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   32.8         25.0         17.9         12.8
PALISADE           MIN:   32.8         24.5         17.4         12.3

MHSN2              MAX:    2.4          1.8          1.9          1.4
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    2.4          1.7          1.2          0.9
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    2.4          1.6          1.1          0.7

HREN2              MAX:   18.7         13.4         11.5          6.8
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   18.5         12.3          7.9          4.7
ELKO               MIN:   18.4         12.0          7.4          4.4

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   5.9/   5.7/   5.4
.ER WMSO3 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   5.9/   5.8/   5.5
.ER WMSO3 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.4/   6.1/   6.4/   5.7
.ER FTJC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.7/   3.7/   3.1/   2.6
.ER FTJC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.7/   3.7/   3.1/   2.6
.ER FTJC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.7/   4.1/   3.5/   2.8
.ER CEGC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   20.9/  13.7/  13.6/  10.1
.ER CEGC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   22.2/  16.0/  16.0/  12.1
.ER CEGC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.6/  19.8/  21.7/  15.0
.ER SHDC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   58.8/  51.5/  48.2/  45.6
.ER SHDC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   59.7/  53.1/  50.3/  47.9
.ER SHDC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   60.7/  59.1/  68.7/  57.6
.ER ORDC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   56.1/  41.7/  33.2/  28.3
.ER ORDC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   57.4/  43.9/  36.5/  31.3
.ER ORDC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   58.7/  47.8/  40.0/  35.8
.ER HLEC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   48.9/  47.1/  67.2/  67.2
.ER HLEC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   48.9/  47.1/  67.2/  67.2
.ER HLEC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   48.9/  47.1/  67.2/  67.3
.ER FOLC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   76.9/  62.6/  54.7/  50.1
.ER FOLC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   78.6/  65.4/  58.2/  52.4
.ER FOLC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   80.8/  68.7/  61.3/  55.1
.ER CMPC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   41.6/  22.9/  15.0/  11.8
.ER CMPC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   45.4/  25.7/  17.8/  13.9
.ER CMPC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   49.4/  28.7/  21.3/  18.5
.ER NMSC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   45.7/  27.0/  18.7/  15.2
.ER NMSC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   47.6/  30.1/  22.2/  17.1
.ER NMSC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   49.5/  32.7/  25.0/  19.7
.ER NDPC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  110.2/  65.9/  54.4/  48.5
.ER NDPC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  119.3/  81.4/  68.0/  56.0
.ER NDPC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  128.3/  97.3/  82.1/  68.8
.ER POHC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   33.7/  18.8/  14.5/  13.2
.ER POHC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   37.0/  22.7/  19.0/  16.3
.ER POHC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   39.7/  26.7/  22.0/  19.5
.ER EXQC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   49.5/  28.6/  22.3/  20.9
.ER EXQC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   54.0/  33.9/  28.5/  24.5
.ER EXQC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   57.5/  39.2/  33.3/  29.1
.ER FRAC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  127.4/  83.3/  70.5/  68.3
.ER FRAC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  141.4/ 103.9/  93.7/  82.7
.ER FRAC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  155.3/ 125.6/ 111.3/  98.1
.ER PFTC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  147.7/  88.6/  75.8/  64.0
.ER PFTC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  163.1/ 107.8/  94.7/  78.8
.ER PFTC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  182.1/ 127.4/ 105.3/  94.9
.ER TMDC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   28.8/  17.0/  12.9/  10.9
.ER TMDC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   30.8/  19.6/  16.0/  13.4
.ER TMDC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   32.4/  22.2/  18.1/  16.3
.ER SCSC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   3.1/   2.4/   2.1
.ER SCSC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   3.3/   2.7/   2.2
.ER SCSC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   3.7/   2.8/   2.5
.ER ISAC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   53.6/  39.2/  31.6/  27.6
.ER ISAC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   56.4/  42.7/  36.8/  32.1
.ER ISAC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   59.2/  47.5/  40.8/  38.9
.ER BCAC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5
.ER BCAC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5
.ER BCAC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5
.ER FARC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   22.4/  19.9/  18.5/  17.4
.ER FARC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   22.8/  20.2/  18.6/  17.5
.ER FARC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.3/  20.5/  19.0/  17.7
.ER WOOC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   2.6/   1.8/   1.5
.ER WOOC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.6/   2.9/   2.2/   1.8
.ER WOOC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.8/   3.3/   2.8/   2.3
.ER GRDN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   18.7/  13.1/   9.1/   7.4
.ER GRDN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   20.9/  15.3/  11.3/   9.0
.ER GRDN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.0/  18.5/  12.9/  10.8
.ER STWN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   19.3/  12.4/   8.0/   6.2
.ER STWN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   21.5/  14.7/  10.4/   7.9
.ER STWN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.3/  18.1/  12.1/   9.7
.ER WWBC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   21.3/  13.7/  10.0/   9.5
.ER WWBC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   23.5/  15.7/  13.5/  12.6
.ER WWBC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   25.6/  19.5/  15.9/  15.3
.ER BPRC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.4/   7.0/   6.3/   5.9
.ER BPRC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.4/   8.2/   7.5/   6.9
.ER BPRC1 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.3/   9.6/   8.6/   7.9
.ER PALN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   32.8/  24.5/  17.4/  12.3
.ER PALN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   32.8/  25.0/  17.9/  12.8
.ER PALN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   33.0/  26.6/  22.8/  16.9
.ER MHSN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   1.6/   1.1/   0.7
.ER MHSN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   1.7/   1.2/   0.9
.ER MHSN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   1.8/   1.9/   1.4
.ER HREN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   18.4/  12.0/   7.4/   4.4
.ER HREN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.5/  12.3/   7.9/   4.7
.ER HREN2 20190623 Z DH12/DC201906181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   18.7/  13.4/  11.5/   6.8

$$