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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
954 AM PLT FRI JAN 18 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         01/23        01/28        02/02        02/07  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    9.7         10.6          8.7          9.3
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    8.0          8.3          7.4          6.7
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    7.3          7.2          6.5          6.0

FTJC1              MAX:   23.4          8.7          8.2         12.3
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:   10.5          4.8          4.3          3.8
FORT JONES         MIN:    4.9          3.3          2.7          2.3

CEGC1              MAX:   63.2         22.3         23.4         42.8
TRINITY           PROB:   36.6         16.9         15.0         15.0
TRINITY LK         MIN:   27.0         14.5         12.1         10.5

SHDC1              MAX:  319.1        123.5        138.7        195.5
SACRAMENTO        PROB:  204.7         98.0         75.5         69.6
SHASTA             MIN:  158.5         85.0         65.0         53.2

ORDC1              MAX:  174.1         89.9        125.1        170.3
FEATHER           PROB:  121.3         65.3         52.4         48.6
OROVILLE           MIN:  108.3         59.3         43.0         33.1

HLEC1              MAX:   35.8         15.4         22.9         26.2
YUBA              PROB:   24.7         13.0         12.2         11.8
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   20.7         12.2         11.1         10.5

FOLC1              MAX:  119.1         51.9         62.6         88.6
AMERICAN          PROB:   73.7         38.1         32.4         32.2
FOLSOM             MIN:   66.9         33.8         26.3         22.0

CMPC1              MAX:   12.2          8.6          9.8         11.6
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    9.2          5.5          5.0          4.8
PARDEE             MIN:    7.7          4.9          4.1          3.5

NMSC1              MAX:   32.0         18.1         19.0         23.4
STANISLAUS        PROB:   19.3         10.6          8.4          8.5
NEW MELONES        MIN:   15.9          8.6          6.2          5.2

NDPC1              MAX:   45.7         23.1         28.6         38.5
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   29.0         14.7         14.3         15.5
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   23.2         12.0         10.3          9.4

POHC1              MAX:    2.2          2.0          2.3          3.1
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    1.8          1.2          1.4          1.5
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    1.7          1.0          0.8          0.9

EXQC1              MAX:   21.4         10.2         15.6         22.8
MERCED            PROB:   13.1          6.8          6.5          7.4
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    9.6          5.7          4.9          4.5

FRAC1              MAX:   25.8         15.3         18.9         22.4
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   18.8         12.0         10.5          9.9
MILLERTON          MIN:   16.6         10.5          8.8          7.6

PFTC1              MAX:   19.4         12.3         19.1         19.5
KINGS             PROB:   14.2          9.1          6.9          6.2
PINE FLAT          MIN:   12.6          7.7          5.7          4.5

TMDC1              MAX:    5.5          3.4          9.0          6.5
KAWEAH            PROB:    3.0          2.0          2.1          2.1
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    2.7          1.6          1.5          1.4

SCSC1              MAX:    4.4          2.4          3.9          4.6
TULE              PROB:    2.8          1.7          1.6          1.4
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    2.6          1.5          1.2          1.0

ISAC1              MAX:    6.6          4.7          7.2          7.3
KERN              PROB:    5.5          3.6          3.4          3.4
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    5.3          3.3          3.1          2.9

BCAC1              MAX:    1.8          1.8          1.8          1.8
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    1.8          1.7          1.7          1.7
BOCA               MIN:    1.7          1.7          1.7          1.7

FARC1              MAX:    3.4          3.4          3.9          3.9
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    3.3          3.1          3.1          3.1
FARAD              MIN:    3.2          3.0          2.9          2.9

WOOC1              MAX:    0.1          0.2          0.2          0.2
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

GRDN2              MAX:    0.9          0.9          1.1          1.3
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.8          0.7          0.7          0.7
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    0.8          0.7          0.6          0.6

STWN2              MAX:    3.9          2.4          2.7          2.6
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    2.7          1.9          1.8          1.7
CARSON CITY        MIN:    2.5          1.7          1.6          1.4

WWBC1              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.5
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.3
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.3

BPRC1              MAX:    0.5          0.5          0.7          0.7
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.5          0.4
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3

PALN2              MAX:    1.6          1.5          1.2          1.6
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.4          1.1          0.8          0.8
PALISADE           MIN:    1.4          1.0          0.5          0.6

MHSN2              MAX:    0.0          0.1          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.0          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.0          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
ELKO               MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.3/   7.2/   6.5/   6.0
.ER WMSO3 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.0/   8.3/   7.4/   6.7
.ER WMSO3 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.7/  10.6/   8.7/   9.3
.ER FTJC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   3.3/   2.7/   2.3
.ER FTJC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.5/   4.8/   4.3/   3.8
.ER FTJC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.4/   8.7/   8.2/  12.3
.ER CEGC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.0/  14.5/  12.1/  10.5
.ER CEGC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   36.6/  16.9/  15.0/  15.0
.ER CEGC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   63.2/  22.3/  23.4/  42.8
.ER SHDC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  158.5/  85.0/  65.0/  53.2
.ER SHDC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  204.7/  98.0/  75.5/  69.6
.ER SHDC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  319.1/ 123.5/ 138.7/ 195.5
.ER ORDC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  108.3/  59.3/  43.0/  33.1
.ER ORDC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  121.3/  65.3/  52.4/  48.6
.ER ORDC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  174.1/  89.9/ 125.1/ 170.3
.ER HLEC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   20.7/  12.2/  11.1/  10.5
.ER HLEC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.7/  13.0/  12.2/  11.8
.ER HLEC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   35.8/  15.4/  22.9/  26.2
.ER FOLC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   66.9/  33.8/  26.3/  22.0
.ER FOLC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   73.7/  38.1/  32.4/  32.2
.ER FOLC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  119.1/  51.9/  62.6/  88.6
.ER CMPC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.7/   4.9/   4.1/   3.5
.ER CMPC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.2/   5.5/   5.0/   4.8
.ER CMPC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   12.2/   8.6/   9.8/  11.6
.ER NMSC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.9/   8.6/   6.2/   5.2
.ER NMSC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   19.3/  10.6/   8.4/   8.5
.ER NMSC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   32.0/  18.1/  19.0/  23.4
.ER NDPC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   23.2/  12.0/  10.3/   9.4
.ER NDPC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   29.0/  14.7/  14.3/  15.5
.ER NDPC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   45.7/  23.1/  28.6/  38.5
.ER POHC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.0/   0.8/   0.9
.ER POHC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.2/   1.4/   1.5
.ER POHC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   2.0/   2.3/   3.1
.ER EXQC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.6/   5.7/   4.9/   4.5
.ER EXQC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   13.1/   6.8/   6.5/   7.4
.ER EXQC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   21.4/  10.2/  15.6/  22.8
.ER FRAC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   16.6/  10.5/   8.8/   7.6
.ER FRAC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.8/  12.0/  10.5/   9.9
.ER FRAC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   25.8/  15.3/  18.9/  22.4
.ER PFTC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   12.6/   7.7/   5.7/   4.5
.ER PFTC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.2/   9.1/   6.9/   6.2
.ER PFTC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   19.4/  12.3/  19.1/  19.5
.ER TMDC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   1.6/   1.5/   1.4
.ER TMDC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.0/   2.0/   2.1/   2.1
.ER TMDC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   3.4/   9.0/   6.5
.ER SCSC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.6/   1.5/   1.2/   1.0
.ER SCSC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   1.7/   1.6/   1.4
.ER SCSC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   2.4/   3.9/   4.6
.ER ISAC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.3/   3.3/   3.1/   2.9
.ER ISAC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   3.6/   3.4/   3.4
.ER ISAC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.6/   4.7/   7.2/   7.3
.ER BCAC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.7/   1.7/   1.7
.ER BCAC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.7/   1.7/   1.7
.ER BCAC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.8/   1.8/   1.8
.ER FARC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.2/   3.0/   2.9/   2.9
.ER FARC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.3/   3.1/   3.1/   3.1
.ER FARC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   3.4/   3.9/   3.9
.ER WOOC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER WOOC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER WOOC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER GRDN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.6/   0.6
.ER GRDN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER GRDN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   1.1/   1.3
.ER STWN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   1.7/   1.6/   1.4
.ER STWN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   1.9/   1.8/   1.7
.ER STWN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   2.4/   2.7/   2.6
.ER WWBC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.5
.ER BPRC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER BPRC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.5/   0.4
.ER BPRC1 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.7/   0.7
.ER PALN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.0/   0.5/   0.6
.ER PALN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.1/   0.8/   0.8
.ER PALN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   1.5/   1.2/   1.6
.ER MHSN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20190123 Z DH12/DC201901181200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2

$$