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SALINAS RIVER - BRADLEY (BRDC1)

Latitude: 35.93º N	Longitude: 120.87º W	Elevation: 443 Feet
Location: Monterey County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: Salinas/Pajaro

Issuance Time:

Dec 11, 2023 at 8:06 AM PST

Monitor Stage: 12.0 Feet

Flood Stage: 14.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in kcfs): BRDC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

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Impacts - E19 Information
14.0 Feet	Right bank overflows at gage. San Ardo oil fields in danger of flooding.
16.0 Feet	Minor flooding of agricultural lands and lowest portions of towns within the reach of the gage (Bradley, San Ardo, San Lucas, King City, Greenfield, and Soledad). Flooding begins at San Ardo oil fields.
18.0 Feet	Minor flooding of San Ardo oil fields. Significant flooding of lowest portions of towns within the reach of the gage. Flooding of secondary roads begins along the reach. Significant flooding of agricultural land within the reach. Minor damage due to erosion and sediment deposition.
20.0 Feet	Moderate flooding occurs along the lwoer portions of towns within the reach. Many secondary and some primary roads inundated. Major damage due to erosion and sediment deposition with 15,000 acres possibly inundated in the Salinas Valley. Major damage to agriculturals land occurs within the reach of the gage.
22.0 Feet	Major flooding occurs along lower portions of towns within the reach. Many secondary roads damaged. Sewage treatment plants within the reach in danger of being flooded. Primary roads inundated making travel in the Salinas Valley difficult. Some access to bridges washed out. San Ardo oil fields flooded. Major damage continues to wide expanses of agricultural land in the Salinas Valley with at least 40,000 acres inundated.
23.0 Feet	Disastrous flooding within the reach. Evacuations likely for towns within the reach. Some homes along the lower portions of towns in danger of being flooded. At least 90,000 acres of farm land iinundated in the Salinas Valley. Disastrous flooding to wide expanses of agricultural land in the Salinas Valley, including damage due to erosion and sediment deposition.
23.44 Feet	Flood stage of record. March 11, 1995, 120,000 cfs. Extensive flood damage to roads and agricultural land in the Salinas Valley. 100,000 acres inundated in the Salinas Valley with at least 2,000 acres permanently destroyed by erosion and sediment deposition.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ516)

Rest of Today: Partly cloudy late in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog and frost after midnight. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Areas of frost and patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear except for dense fog and frost after midnight. Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening and becoming light.

Wednesday: Sunny. Widespread frost and patchy fog in the morning. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds around 5 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid 30s.

Thursday through Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Lows in the upper 30s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of rain. Highs in the upper 60s.

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