CNRFC - Ensemble Products

Short-Range Products (hourly timestep)

Long-Range Products (daily timestep)

Back to Ensemble Products Map

Location:

<<< Previous Ensemble Location (SCOC1) | Next Ensemble Location (FRNC1) >>>

VAN DUZEN RIVER - BRIDGEVILLE (BRGC1)

Latitude: 40.48º N	Longitude: 123.89º W	Elevation: 358 Feet
Location: Humboldt County in California		Bulletin Group: North Coast		River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Dec 08, 2023 at 8:08 AM PST

Monitor Stage: 13.0 Feet

Flood Stage: 17.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): BRGC1

Select Threshold to Use:

Monitor Stage Flood Stage Custom Threshold

Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Impacts - E19 Information
17.0 Feet	Flooding begins in lower portions of Grizzly Creek State Park and along River Bar Road.
18.0 Feet	Minor flooding of Highway 36 near Grizzly Creek State Park and in lower portions of the State Park itself. Moderate flooding of River Bar Road in the Starvation Flats area.
19.0 Feet	Flooding of Highway 36 near Grizzly Creek State Park and along River Bar Road in the Starvation Flats area. Water level at the State Park reaches the parking lot.
20.0 Feet	Flooding of Highway 36, especially east of Carlotta and near Grizzly Creek State Park. Portions of River Bar Road in the Starvation Flats area are likely to be impassable. In the State Park water may reach near the office.
21.0 Feet	Flooding of Highway 36 east of Carlotta and near the Grizzly Creek Bridge due to water over the road in numerous locations. Portions of River Bar Road in Starvation Flats will likely be impassable. Water level in Grizzly Creek State Park will approach Highway 36.
23.0 Feet	Extensive, severe flooding with closure of Highway 36 east of Carlotta to near the Grizzly Creek Bridge. River Bar Road in the Starvation Flats area will be impassable.
24.0 Feet	Extensive, severe, near record flooding from Bridgeville downstream to the mouth including portions of US Highway 101. All persons near the river should be prepared to take appropriate actions to protect life and property.
25.0 Feet	Extensive, severe, record flooding from Bridgeville downstream to the mouth including portions of US Highway 101. All persons near the river should be prepared to take appropriate actions to protect life and property.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ106)

Today: Mostly sunny. Patchy valley fog in the morning. Highs 41 to 56.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows 29 to 39.

Saturday: Partly cloudy. Highs 49 to 62.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 33 to 43.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 49 to 62.

Sunday Night and Monday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 48 to 62.

Monday Night through Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 34 to 44. Highs 50 to 65.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Highs 50 to 64.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Lows 35 to 45.

Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs 49 to 63.

NWS RSS Feed