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SAN DIEGO RIVER - FASHION VALLEY (FSNC1)

Latitude: 32.77º N	Longitude: 117.17º W	Elevation: 20 Feet
Location: San Diego County in California		Bulletin Group: Southern California		River Group: San Diego/Inland

Issuance Time:

Dec 08, 2023 at 7:32 AM PST

Monitor Stage: 7.5 Feet

Flood Stage: 10.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): FSNC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
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Impacts - E19 Information
7.5 Feet	The first real impacts are seen on the San Diego River at this level. Low lying roads in and around Fashion Valley Mall begin to take on water. Avenida Del Rio is the first road to begin flooding
9.0 Feet	More extensive low lying road flooding begins in and around Fashion Valley including Fashion Valley Road. Parking structures in and around Fashion Valley Mall begin to take on water at the lowest levels.
10.0 Feet	More extensive flooding begins at this level, more than just low lying areas. Fashion Valley Mall parking garage is taking on water at the lower levels with 1 to 2 feet of water in the garage. Water on the Town and Country hotel parking lot adjacent to the river and USGS gauge at Fashion Valley.
11.0 Feet	The parking garages in Fashion Valley Mall can have 3 feet of water on the lowest levels. Water may begin to surround area hotels such as the River Leaf Inn. The Mision Trolley Station on Ward Road may begin to flood. Flooding begins on Cmino De La Reina (under Highway 163).
12.0 Feet	Even more extensive flooding occurs in and around Mission Valley. Qualcomm Way, Camino Del Este, Ward Road, and Mission Gorge Road flooded. Mission Trolley Station flooded and may close due to flowing water. Interstate 5 on and off ramps flooded at the San Diego River and Pacific Highway. Mission Center Road may begin flooding with debris on railings. Fashion Valley Trolley Station surrounded by water. 2 feet of water flowing over Fashion Valley Road across gates. The golf course has been flooded at this level.
13.5 Feet	Portions of Hotel Circle Road North under water. Qualcomm Way flooded and may close. Snapdragon Stadium parking may flood (likely not) and water may back up on Chollas Creek. Mission Gorge Road at low water crossing closed with 1-2 feet of flowing water. Mission Center Road will have 2-3 feet of flowing water. Hotel Circle Road has areas of standing water.
16.5 Feet	Most unelevated roads and intersections in Mission Valley are flooded and impassible. Widespread damage to businesses, residences, and roads throughout Mission Valley. Water will reach up to Highway 163 road level.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ043)

Today: Partly cloudy with patchy fog this morning and becoming mostly sunny. Highs around 70. Light winds.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 49. Areas of winds north 10 mph becoming east 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph overnight.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs 72 to 77. Areas of winds east 10 to 20 mph. Gusts to 35 mph and becoming 30 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 50. Areas of winds east 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 71 to 76 near the coast to 77 inland. Areas of winds northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 30 mph becoming north in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 50.

Monday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and becoming partly cloudy. Highs 68 to 72 near the coast to 73 inland.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 42 to 50.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy in the morning and becoming mostly sunny. Highs 65 to 70 near the coast to 71 inland.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 43 to 50.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 71 to 75.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 49.

Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs around 70 near the coast to 72 inland.

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