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RUSSIAN RIVER - GUERNEVILLE (GUEC1)

Latitude: 38.50º N	Longitude: 123.00º W	Elevation: 65 Feet
Location: Sonoma County in California		Bulletin Group: Russian Napa		River Group: Russian Napa

Issuance Time:

Dec 08, 2023 at 8:09 AM PST

Monitor Stage: 29.0 Feet

Flood Stage: 32.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): GUEC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Impacts - E19 Information
32.0 Feet	Minor flooding. Lower Mill Street in Guerneville and Old Bohemian Hwy in Monte Rio is closed.
32.5 Feet	In Guerneville, the intersection of Hwy 116 and Neely Road is closed. Mays Canyon Road by the Old Rodeo Grounds is closed.
33.0 Feet	In Guerneville, the intersection of Hwy 116 and Drake Road is closed. In Monte Rio, Willow and Alder Streets flood. In Forestville, Mirabel Trailer Park begins to flood.
34.0 Feet	In Guerneville, flooding begins at Johnsons Resort, Parkers Resort, Creekside Resort, and Riverside Park. In Northwood, Lower Redwood Drive begins to flood.
35.0 Feet	Numerous businesses and homes in the lowest sections of towns begin to flood. In Guerneville, Sonoma West Inn begins to flood. More extensive flooding occurs at Parkers Resort. In Northwood, Lower Redwood Drive floods.
36.0 Feet	In Forestville, Mirabel Park Resort and Mirabel Trailer Park flood. In Guerneville, Fern Road at Hwy 116 floods.
37.0 Feet	In Forestville, Mirabel Road at River Road floods. In Guerneville, River Road east of Guerneville floods. Mill Street and 5th Street flood. In Monte Rio, River Blvd east of Monte Rio floods.
38.0 Feet	In Duncan Mills, Freezeout Road at Moscow Road floods. In Guerneville Park, Old Cazadero Road at Hwy 116 floods.
39.0 Feet	West of Duncan Mills, Hwy 116 closed. In Hacienda, River Road floods. In Rio Nido, Canyon 7 Road at the miniature golf course floods. In Guerneville, the Triple R Resort begins to flood.
40.0 Feet	In Guerneville, travel on River Road very difficult. In Northwood, Upper Redwood Drive floods. In Cazadero, Austin Creek Road floods.
41.5 Feet	In Guerneville, River Road closed. In Monte Rio, the main intersections flood. Monte Rio Elementary School begins to flood.
44.0 Feet	In Guerneville, Hwy 116 west of town closed. Safeway floods. In Monte Rio and Guerneville Park, the main business sections flood. Travel in most areas nearly impossible.
46.0 Feet	In Guerneville, much of downtown floods. The Guerneville Post Office begins to flood. In Rio Nido, River Road floods.
47.0 Feet	In Guerneville, businesses on the north side of Main Street flood. Travel most areas impossible.
48.5 Feet	In Guerneville, the Veterans Building and Sheriffs Substation begin to flood.
49.5 Feet	Flood of Record. 02/18/1986 (102,000 cfs)

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ506)

Rest of Today: Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows in the upper 20s to lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Saturday: Sunny in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Areas of frost in the morning. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph and becoming southeast in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s to mid 40s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph and becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to upper 40s.

Monday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Monday Night through Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s to upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s.

Wednesday through Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Lows in the 30s to mid 40s.

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