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TUOLUMNE RIVER - MODESTO (MDSC1)

Latitude: 37.63º N	Longitude: 120.99º W	Elevation: 60 Feet
Location: Stanislaus County in California		Bulletin Group: San Joaquin		River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Dec 08, 2023 at 8:10 AM PST

Monitor Stage: 50.5 Feet

Flood Stage: 55.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in kcfs): MDSC1

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What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

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Impacts - E19 Information
55.0 Feet	This is channel capacity through downtown Modesto.
67.0 Feet	Extensive flooding occurs. Flows in excess of 40,000 cfs could cause extensive damage to residential, industrial, and commercial development in Modesto downstream of gage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ019)

Today: Mostly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Areas of fog early in the morning. Patchy fog late in the morning. Highs 52 to 59. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Tonight: Clear. Areas of frost after midnight. Colder. Lows 30 to 40. Northwest winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Saturday: Areas of frost in the morning. Mostly sunny. Highs 53 to 59. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows 33 to 43. Light winds.

Sunday: Areas of frost in the morning. Mostly cloudy. Highs 55 to 61. North winds up to 10 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 33 to 43.

Monday: Mostly sunny. Highs 57 to 63.

Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 44.

Tuesday and Tuesday Night: Clear. Highs 57 to 62. Lows 34 to 44.

Wednesday through Thursday: Mostly clear. Highs 57 to 63. Lows 34 to 44.

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