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CARMEL RIVER - ROBLES DEL RIO (RDRC1)

Latitude: 36.47º N	Longitude: 121.73º W	Elevation: 269 Feet
Location: Monterey County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: Salinas/Pajaro

Issuance Time:

Dec 08, 2023 at 7:45 AM PST

Monitor Stage: 7.5 Feet

Flood Stage: 8.5 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): RDRC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
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What information is considered in this forecast?

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Impacts - E19 Information
8.5 Feet	Low-lying homes from Camp Steffani to below Robles Del Rio will begin to flood. Old Odello Ranch near Carmel begins to flood. Homes along Paso Hondo and Dampierre Park subject to flooding.
10.0 Feet	The south side of Highway 1 bridge access in Carmel will become inundated and impassable. Many low-lying homes will be threatened along the entire Carmel River. Low-lying homes near Camp Steffani will experience substantial flooding and homes near Schulte Road will be in danger of flooding. Homes surrounding the Carmel Lagoon area will be in danger of flooding.
11.0 Feet	The Hacienda Carmel residential development levee will be threatened. Moderate flooding of golf courses and low-lying homes can be expected along the entire Carmel River. Homes near the Carmel Lagoon area will begin to experience moderate flooding.
12.0 Feet	Widespread flood damage to low-lying homes can be expected along the entire Carmel River. Levees protecting homes near Mission Fields will be in danger of breaching. Homes near the Carmel Lagoon area will begin to have substantial flooding.
13.0 Feet	Major flooding can be expected along the entire Carmel River. Levees along the lower Carmel River will be in danger of breaching. Many homes, businesses, and roads along the entire Carmel River will become inundated. Portions of Mission Fields and Rio Roads will be flooded.
14.0 Feet	Disastrous flooding can be expected along the entire Carmel River. Approaches to all bridges along the Carmel River will become impassable. Many homes and businesses along the entire Carmel River will experience severe flood damage with transportation difficult.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ528)

Rest of Today: Sunny. Patchy fog late in the morning. Highs around 60. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph and becoming east after midnight.

Saturday: Sunny. Widespread frost in the morning. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph and becoming north in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to mid 40s. East winds around 5 mph.

Sunday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph and becoming north in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.

Monday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Monday Night through Wednesday: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.

Wednesday Night and Thursday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.

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