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EEL RIVER - SCOTIA (SCOC1)

Latitude: 40.49º N	Longitude: 124.1º W	Elevation: 36 Feet
Location: Humboldt County in California		Bulletin Group: North Coast		River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Dec 11, 2023 at 7:58 AM PST

Monitor Stage: 45.0 Feet

Flood Stage: 51.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): SCOC1

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

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Impacts - E19 Information
46.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in the northern portion of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell. Occupants of the park need to be ready to move their vehicles to higher ground.
48.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is expected. Occupants of the park may need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
50.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is likely. Occupants of the park will need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
52.0 Feet	Minor flooding in the Shively area is possible.
55.0 Feet	Flooding of low-lying areas near Shively likely, and possible closure of portions of the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
62.0 Feet	Flooding of many low-lying areas near the river is likely. Numerous closures along the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
67.0 Feet	Expect significant flooding in all areas near the river with numerous road closures, including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
72.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding of all areas adjacent to the river with possible damage to roads, bridges, and other structures. Expect many road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and possibly US Highway 101.
74.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding throughout the river valley with major damage to roads, bridges, and structures. Numerous road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and US Highway 101.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ103)

Today: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the morning. Highs 53 to 63. Southeast wind around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 39 to 49. North wind around 5 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs 54 to 64. Northeast wind around 5 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 34 to 44. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs 53 to 63. South wind around 5 mph.

Wednesday Night through Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 53 to 67.

Saturday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Highs 58 to 68.

Saturday Night and Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 56 to 68.

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