National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/14/2021 1612Z
Data ending: 07/14/2021 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: AKYC1 (Sf American - Kyburz, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    0.6  Mean:    6.5  WY-to-date: Obs:    0.6 Mean:    1.1
2020       % of mean:    9% 

November   Obs:    1.6  Mean:    9.3  WY-to-date: Obs:    2.1 Mean:    3.8
2020       % of mean:    17% 

December   Obs:    1.7  Mean:   12.7  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.9 Mean:   11.2
2020       % of mean:    14% 

January    Obs:    1.3  Mean:   16.4  WY-to-date: Obs:    5.2 Mean:   22.6
2021       % of mean:    8% 

February   Obs:    1.0  Mean:   18.1  WY-to-date: Obs:    6.2 Mean:   35.5
2021       % of mean:    6% 

March      Obs:    4.6  Mean:   29.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   10.7 Mean:   61.2
2021       % of mean:    16% 

April      Obs:   29.9  Mean:   46.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   40.6 Mean:  106.4
2021       % of mean:    64% 

May        Obs:   31.6  Mean:   80.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   72.2 Mean:  183.8
2021       % of mean:    39% 

June       Obs:    3.5  Mean:   57.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   75.7 Mean:  237.4
2021       % of mean:    6% 

July       Obs (thru 14@12Z):    0.4    Mean:   20.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   76.0 Mean:  304.8
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     0     0     0     0     0 -9999 -9999
           Obs + Fcst:        1     1     1     1     1 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                     3% 

August     Mean:    8.6
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                     0% 

September  Mean:    7.0
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     1 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                     1% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   76.0    Mean:  312.6
WY2021     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     0     0     0     1     1     0     4
           Obs + Fcst:       76    76    77    77    77    76    80
           % of mean:                    24%