Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/04/2021 1529Z
Data ending: 07/04/2021 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: BKCC1 (Butte Ck - Chico, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    4.3  Mean:    7.5  WY-to-date: Obs:    4.3 Mean:    8.6
2020       % of mean:    57% 

November   Obs:    5.5  Mean:   13.0  WY-to-date: Obs:    9.9 Mean:   23.5
2020       % of mean:    43% 

December   Obs:    6.8  Mean:   29.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   16.7 Mean:   53.2
2020       % of mean:    23% 

January    Obs:    8.6  Mean:   40.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   25.3 Mean:  100.6
2021       % of mean:    21% 

February   Obs:   13.2  Mean:   47.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   38.5 Mean:  146.8
2021       % of mean:    28% 

March      Obs:   13.6  Mean:   52.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   52.1 Mean:  197.2
2021       % of mean:    26% 

April      Obs:    8.4  Mean:   39.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   60.5 Mean:  238.5
2021       % of mean:    21% 

May        Obs:    8.2  Mean:   30.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   68.7 Mean:  270.3
2021       % of mean:    27% 

June       Obs:    6.6  Mean:   17.7  WY-to-date: Obs:   75.4 Mean:  288.2
2021       % of mean:    37% 

July       Obs (thru 04@12Z):    0.9    Mean:   10.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   76.2 Mean:  279.5
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     2     2     2     2     2 -9999 -9999
           Obs + Fcst:        3     3     3     3     3 -9998 -9998
           % of mean:                    27% 

August     Mean:    8.5
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          2     2     2     2     2 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                    19% 

September  Mean:    6.8
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          1     1     1     1     2 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                    21% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   76.2    Mean:  303.8
WY2021     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     5     5     5     5     5     5     6
           Obs + Fcst:       81    81    81    81    81    81    82
           % of mean:                    27%