National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/20/2021 1631Z
Data ending: 07/20/2021 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: FTCN2 (Carson - Fort Churchill, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    0.4  Mean:    5.0  WY-to-date: Obs:    0.4 Mean:    4.4
2020       % of mean:    8% 

November   Obs:    3.5  Mean:   10.3  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.9 Mean:   14.0
2020       % of mean:    34% 

December   Obs:    5.0  Mean:   14.7  WY-to-date: Obs:    8.9 Mean:   29.4
2020       % of mean:    34% 

January    Obs:    5.3  Mean:   22.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   14.2 Mean:   51.7
2021       % of mean:    23% 

February   Obs:    7.2  Mean:   23.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   21.4 Mean:   73.9
2021       % of mean:    31% 

March      Obs:    7.9  Mean:   30.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   29.3 Mean:  101.3
2021       % of mean:    26% 

April      Obs:    6.2  Mean:   33.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   35.4 Mean:  133.2
2021       % of mean:    19% 

May        Obs:    9.8  Mean:   68.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   45.2 Mean:  199.5
2021       % of mean:    14% 

June       Obs:    1.0  Mean:   54.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   46.2 Mean:  255.6
2021       % of mean:    2% 

July       Obs (thru 20@12Z):    0.0    Mean:   15.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   46.2 Mean:  275.2
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     0     0     0     0     0 -9999 -9999
           Obs + Fcst:        0     0     0     0     0 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                     0% 

August     Mean:    2.9
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                     0% 

September  Mean:    1.6
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                     0% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   46.2    Mean:  282.0
WY2021     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     0     0     0     0     0     0     1
           Obs + Fcst:       46    46    46    46    46    46    48
           % of mean:                    16%