Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 06/12/2021 1526Z
Data ending: 06/12/2021 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: ISAC1 (Kern - Isabella Dam, Blo)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    6.9  Mean:   18.8  WY-to-date: Obs:    6.9 Mean:   17.5
2020       % of mean:    37% 

November   Obs:    9.7  Mean:   22.3  WY-to-date: Obs:   16.6 Mean:   39.0
2020       % of mean:    44% 

December   Obs:   11.1  Mean:   26.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   27.7 Mean:   69.7
2020       % of mean:    43% 

January    Obs:   12.7  Mean:   37.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   40.4 Mean:  110.2
2021       % of mean:    33% 

February   Obs:   14.4  Mean:   43.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   54.8 Mean:  155.6
2021       % of mean:    33% 

March      Obs:   15.2  Mean:   70.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   70.0 Mean:  221.7
2021       % of mean:    22% 

April      Obs:   21.9  Mean:   95.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   91.9 Mean:  317.3
2021       % of mean:    23% 

May        Obs:   26.9  Mean:  155.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  118.8 Mean:  474.3
2021       % of mean:    17% 

June       Obs (thru 12@12Z):    7.3    Mean:  133.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  126.1 Mean:  521.7
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    10    10    10    10    10 -9999 -9999
           Obs + Fcst:       17    17    17    17    17 -9992 -9992
           % of mean:                    13% 

July       Mean:   69.5
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          9     9     9     9    10 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                    13% 

August     Mean:   30.9
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          6     6     6     6     7 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                    20% 

September  Mean:   18.8
2021       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     5     5     6     6 -9999 -9999
           % of mean:                    29% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  126.1    Mean:  722.2
WY2021     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    30    30    31    31    32    30    38
           Obs + Fcst:      156   156   157   157   158   156   164
           % of mean:                    22%